Things You Should Know, Things You Can Do

Welcome to The goal of this website is to dissemenate valuable information related to the coronavirus outbreak, which you might not otherwise find. Unfortunately, due to time constraints, I may not be able to update the site with the latest information in a timely manner however there is still, in my opinion, valuable information below. And, due to financial considerations, I have put this domain up for sale, so the site may be gone before long. If you would like to suggest improvements or be notified of the new URL should the domain sell, write

"Instead of deriding people’s fears about the Wuhan coronavirus, I would advise officials and reporters to focus more on the high likelihood that things will get worse and the not-so-small possibility that they will get much worse. I think there is little need to ameliorate public over-reaction now. The bigger need is to reduce public over-reaction later to predictable bad news that will take people by surprise insofar as they weren’t sufficiently forewarned..."
 -- Peter Sandman, Risk Communication Professional, January 29, 2020

Latest Updates

As of 9:00 pm Pacific Time February 23rd, the official China numbers are about 79,400 confirmed cases, with about 2,500 deaths and about 24,900 recovered. That leaves about 52,000 people hospitalized. China has been reporting a slowing down of new cases in various cities over the last week or so, however some people are questioning whether this is actually the case, especially in light of how the outbreak is expanding in other countries such as Japan, South Korea, Italy and Iran. Some are theorizing that China is more worried about the damage of a major economic collapse, if people don't go back to work, than about the damage the virus will cause - and the authorities may have concluded they can't stop the virus from spreading anyway.

In any case there are numerous reasons why we simply don't know the real numbers of how many people have been infected, how many have gotten ill, and how many have died, both inside and outside China. It is looking more and more likely, in my opinion - as someone who is not a scientist or health professional but has been reading about pandemics for the last 15 years - that we are at the beginning of what will be termed a global pandemic. On February 21st Dr. Nancy Messonnier of the U.S. CDC said, "[W]e are not seeing community spread in the United States yet, but it is very possible, even likely, that it may eventually happen."

If that is the case, the big question is how serious a pandemic it will be, whether it will be mild like the 2009 pandemic or disastrous like in 1918. In 2005 the History Channel produced a documentary depicting a "worst case" avian flu pandemic, which could equally apply to a novel coronavirus. You can see it below, streamed from YouTube.

There are a number of important things we should know about this outbreak, which are still not clear. Not only the numbers - how many have been infected and of those how many have gotten sick and how many have died - but also whether a Covid-19 infection confers immunity to reinfection or possibly makes serious illness more likely. There is at least one scientific paper raising the possiblity of the latter, as does the following Taiwan News article, which also raises questions about the accuracy of the PCR lab tests being used to detect the virus:

Chinese doctors say Wuhan coronavirus reinfection even deadlier

In any event, the important thing, in my opinion, is to doubt what some doctors are saying publicly - that we have more to fear from seasonal flu than we do from Covid-19. That may in fact turn out to be the case, but I think there is also a good chance that Covid-19 will be a nasty pandemic and that everyone should be preparing, as much as possible. That means stockpiling some canned and other nonperishable food items, plus needed prescription medicines, general emergency-preparedness supplies, and over-the-counter medications and supplements which may possibly provide assistance. In that regard you want to be careful not to trust snake-oil salesmen, but only people and companies which back up their assertions with credible scientific documentation. I have put some links below which I believe meet this criteria.

One matter I haven't seen discussed much, in the mass media, is the factors which determine how sick a person becomes after they get infected with the Covid-19 virus. To my understanding - which has been aided greatly by the teachings of virologist Henry Niman, who is linked to below - one important factor is viral load or the actual quantity of virus which is absorbed. The sicker a person is, the higher a quantity of virus they will shed, and the more virus a person is infected with the harder a time their immune system will have in countering the infection. Then there is the question of how robust their immune system is, with people who have a weak immune system naturally being more susceptible to severe disease, plus the amount of stress they are under after infection, which in turn affects the robustness.

This may be the reason why the virus seems to have been more deadly in Wuhan than in other areas to date. When many people in an area get infected the possibility of getting infected from more than one source increases, especially for people who go to hospitals and have to sit in waiting rooms for hours on end. This increases the quantity of virus they are infected with.

Several types of supplements may have value: 1) supplements which bolster general health and boost the strength of your immune system; 2) supplements which may have an antiviral effect; and 3) supplements which may mitigate what is called a "cytokine storm," whereby a person's immune system overreacts and the person is harmed by the overreaction - which happened frequently with the 1918 flu, but it's unclear at this time to what extent it is happening with Covid-19.

It is also possible that getting a "pneumovax" vaccine at this time may be helpful, to guard against the secondary bacterial infections which many people succumbed to as a result of the viral pneumonia caused by the 1918 flu. Covid-19 also causes viral pneumonia but it's unclear at this time how many of the deaths and serious illnesses involve secondary bacterial infections.

Another important thing to note, when you are reading and hearing about the outbreak, is the way the term "case fatality rate" ("CFR") - sometimes called the "mortality rate" - is used. Some people are saying that Covid-19 has a much lower CFR than SARS, but that may not be true, it all depends on how you are defining the term. In my opinion there really should be three distinct metrics for understanding outbreaks, instead of just CFR:

1) The infection fatality rate, or the percentage of people who die of all people who get infected with the pathogen, whether they get sick or not;

2) The illness fatality rate, or the percentage of people who die of all infected people who develop at least mild symptoms; and

3) The serious illness fatality rate, or the percentage of people who die of all infected people who develop symptoms serious enough to warrant hospitalization.

All three metrics are important to understand, however right now different people are using the term "case fatality rate" in different ways, each referring to one of the three metrics but not always the same one. The three metrics will be very different numbers, so it's important to understand how a person using the term "case fatality rate" or "mortality rate" is defining it.

A pandemic can proceed in waves, over a period of several months to two years, as best is known, with the spread and pathogenicity increasing and decreasing in different places at different times. There can be different strains or "lineages" of a virus circulating, some more transmissible or deadly than others. An outbreak can hit a city or area, fade out after some time, and then reappear months later with increased or decreased severity.

The links on this page may help you to understand the situation better.

Recombinomics - The Website of Virologist Henry Niman

Dr. Henry Niman has been on the front lines of reporting on emerging infectious diseases since at least 2003, when he worked on the SARS outbreak. He has made many people aware of the possibility, or perhaps inevitability, of a serious worldwide pandemic. He specializes in analyzing the genetic sequences of viruses to see how they are evolving and whether they are becoming more transmissible and pathogenic. Although I don't necessarily agree with his politics, I consider Dr. Niman to be a great man who has devoted countless hours to disseminating information on the dangers of novel pathogens, without any compensation I'm aware of.

Especially check out Dr. Niman's radio interviews with Jeff Rense of Dr. Niman is currently giving one-hour interviews most weekdays at 11:00 pm Eastern Time. The interviews can be heard live at:

Below are links to Dr. Niman's February 21st and February 20th interviews:

The Tweets of Epidemiologist Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding

I think this tweet is particularly important:

Diagram Showing Projected Timeline of Spread - Trevor Bedford / Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding

The Tweets of Scott Gottlieb, MD, former Commissioner of the US Food & Drug Administration


Covid-19 discussion thread:

Avian Flu Diary

Prevention and Treatment

For many health problems has put together a number of referenced protocols:

The Pneumonia Protocol is at:

The Influenza Protocol, which is also relevant, is at:

Life Extension also has a product which is supposed to help guard against the possibility of a cytokine storm. I have no idea how effective it may be:

Cytokine Suppress with EGCG

There have also been anecdotal reports of people infected with lipid-coated viruses (including coronaviruses) being helped by the common and inexpensive preservative BHT. There's information at the link below, but be very careful if you decide to experiment as there may be serious side effects, especially if the suggestions for experimentation are not strictly followed:

The BHT Book

Here is the World Health Organization's advice for protecting yourself:

If you are suffering from physical or emotional pain, you may find some relief in the words of Alan Watts:


In light of the current situation it is not unreasonable to be concerned we may possibly be at the beginning of a severe worldwide pandemic. Thus, it would be wise to make sure you are following general disaster preparedness recommendations, which are always a good idea in any case. Here are some links:

International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies - Disaster Preparedness - Prepare for a Flu Pandemic

The following 2005 documentary shows what could happen in a "worst case scenario" avian flu pandemic. It could equally apply to what the current coronavirus outbreak could possibly become. It includes interviews with some of the best experts, including Dr. Michael Osterholm, Director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy (CIDRAP).

I want to thank all the people and organizations linked to above for their wonderful contributions to humanity. Note that I am not affiliated with any of them nor with any advertising appearing on any websites linked to above.

This website is dedicated to the memory of the late, great Roger Robinson, who once said:

"The greatest light shines out of the greatest darkness."

Copyright 2020 Jonathan Schultz
All rights reserved.